Showing posts with label exit poll. Show all posts
Showing posts with label exit poll. Show all posts

Thursday, November 05, 2015

Photo Finish for Bihar 2015 elections?-Tarot Astrology based prediction


We have already tweeted several aspects of predictions about  Bihar based on Tarot and Astrology. These predictions go against most of  surveys(many of which have kept changing over time leading up to predictions ,satta bazaar estimates 
.
One reason of not managing to get right seat predictions in some states like Rajasthan, Bihar,West Bengal Tamil nadu ,MP has been our presumption that no party will get beyond a certain number.In all these cases winners actually notched up beyond the assumed maximum limit.

Hence we did not make this mistake again and tested possible seats going up to 200/243 for each major alliance MGB and NDA. But we still think extreme numbers are unlikely in Bihar elections 2015.

Reason is Astrology.Though we have used Tarot based probabilistic model to test possible seats for  NDA and MGB and again for BJP and JDU individually Astrological considerations rule out extreme or thumping win for NDA or MGB.Why?

Because Shir Nitish Kumar and BJP have same ascendant of Gemini.This means that  relative planetary transits for both will be identical. Only difference is running Mahadashas or sub dashas or planetary periods. Mahadasha of both is mixed suggesting overwhelming performance by either i s unlikely. Historicaly testing this astro theory we find JDU and BJP had almost same success percentage since 2005 though JDU won more seats due to higher seat share. Extending this historical result means both parties are literally in same boat with difference that will vary according to planetary periods at time of elections/results.In case of 8th November results we think extreme performance by either party is unlikely.

Transits on 8th November does not indicate great joy for either but astro-probabilistically Nitish Kumar chances of remaining in power higher than NDA coming to power
Tarot predictions suggest 50-70 as most likely range of BJP seats with maximum of 81 while JDU seats are not clear or helpful( 46 or 65),NDA likely to get 101,109,114 seats in decreasing probability and Government formation is likely based on horse trading.

Further Tarot exercise suggest very close finish between NDA and MGB with MGB marginally ahead.
Parties outside both alliance not likely to get more than 20 seats with new comer Akshay  Verma may open account  with 2 seats and NDA partner LJP led by Ram Vilas Paswan may  get  15 seats.RJD and Congress seen decimated in terms of seats won

Bihar could see a Government that is constrained in many ways

Twitter @SujatKamal
Facebook page :www.Facebook.com/WorldofPredictions

Sunday, December 16, 2012

Who will win elections in Gujarat and Himachal and by what margin #FBIn a recently posted post on this blog www.WorldofPredictions.com also accessible as www.allpredictions.blogspot.com We predicted outcome of Gujarat and Himachal state assembly elections( on on twitter @Sujatkamal) and Fiscal cliff using most astrology This predictive post builds and expands on that using Tarot and Astrology. State Election Predictions 2012:Gujarat and Himachal Gujarat BJP Congress Most Likely outcome( based on tarot cards 95-105 75-82 2nd Most likely scenario 120 60 Himachal BJP Congress Most Likely outcome( based on tarot cards 43 25 2nd Most likely scenario 32 36 We have used tarot cards to predict probability of seats for BJP and Congress in interval of 10 seats in case of Gujarat and 5 seats in case of Himachal. Since total seats are fixed at 192 and 68 respectively, most likely scenario is where seats likely to be won by BJP and Congress add up to total seats in these States (Gujarat 192,HP 68) ( in Gujarat we predict maximum of 12-18 seats to be won by Others ( that is neither BJP or Congress).No seat allocated for Others in Himachal. Seats/election prediction is entirely by innovative Tarot method currently under development Gujarat-BJP may scrape past majority mark and form government though not by overwhelming majority as predicted by many Himachal: BJP may form government( though earlier I predicted loss which I now overrule after detailed tarot analysis) but some disappointments will occur which could require a new CM-possibly loss of PK Dhoomal himself or BJP falling short of majority by 2-3 seats (2nd most likely scenario) but still forming government due to outside support Astrology: I have not looked at astrological aspects in details.But from 2004 experience in private prediction saw bad times for BJP( one day before 2004 lok sabha/AP elections results inspite of AB Vajpayee Euphoria due to transit of Mars/Saturn-esp Mars over Gemini Lagna/ascendant .Situation is partially reversed as Congress lagna is Sagittarius and Mars transiting over it but benefiting from sun Transit on day of election results.Narendra Modi horoscope also shows gains.All in all BJP will gain but Congress mayl not loose badly with neck to neck fight in HP likely (Source of BJP and Congress Horoscope is book by noted astrologer KN Rao-Astrology ,Destiny and Wheels of Time) Fiscal Cliff: We have in a recent post based on astrology and using natal horoscope of USA predicted dates for resolution of Fiscal cliff.( incidentally movement of Moon /transit of Rahu/Ketu leaving their direct aspect/conjunction on/with Jupiter which we used to predict resolution of Fiscal cliff and weakening of GoP-Dem conflicts over time- also bodes well for controlling school/temple shooting type tragedies witnessed on so many occasions over last several months (Jupiter-Ketu conjuct in USA 7th house explains such tragedies as they have occurred over last several months) after January 2013. Fiscal cliff predicted on basis on Tarot and stock market predictions: Using Tarot we predict US will come back from brink of Fiscal cliff with some sort of deal as cards predict sudden rise/recovery after a choppy and volatile days ahead .Hence short now and add long positions after Dow 30 correct over 250-400 points ( general rule of thumb- market will correct more /deeper further the delay in resolving fiscal cliff over remaining days of December) Keywords:Gujarat elections 2012,Elections 2012, exit poll,Himachal elections,predictions,astrology,tarot,Narendra modi,Rahul Gandhi, Prem kumar Dhoomal,Fiscal cliff,Congress party,sonia Gandhi,


Cartoon taken from www.Hypervox.blogspot.in



In  a recently posted post on this blog www.WorldofPredictions.com also accessible as www.allpredictions.blogspot.com
 We predicted outcome of  Gujarat and Himachal state assembly elections( on on twitter @Sujatkamal) and Fiscal cliff using mostly astrology

This predictive post builds and expands on that using Tarot and Astrology.

State Election Predictions 2012:Gujarat and Himachal
Gujarat
BJP
Congress
Most Likely outcome( based on tarot  cards
95-105
75-82



2nd Most likely scenario
120
60

Himachal
BJP
Congress
Most Likely outcome( based on tarot  cards
43
25



2nd Most likely scenario
32
36


We have used tarot cards to predict probability of seats for BJP and Congress in interval of 10 seats in case of Gujarat  and 5 seats in case of Himachal. Since total seats are fixed at 192 and 68 respectively, most likely scenario is where seats likely to be won by BJP and Congress add up to total seats in these States (Gujarat 192,HP 68) ( in Gujarat we predict maximum of 12-18 seats to be won by Others ( that is neither BJP or Congress).No seat allocated for Others in Himachal. Seats/election prediction is entirely by innovative Tarot method currently under development

Gujarat-BJP may scrape past majority mark and form government though not by overwhelming majority as predicted by many

Himachal: BJP may form government( though earlier I predicted loss which I now overrule  after detailed tarot analysis) but some disappointments will  occur which could require a new CM-possibly loss of PK Dhoomal himself or BJP falling short of majority by 2-3 seats (2nd most likely scenario) but still forming government due to outside support



Astrology: I have not looked at astrological aspects in details.But from 2004 experience in private prediction saw bad times for BJP( one day before 2004 lok sabha/AP elections results inspite of AB Vajpayee Euphoria due to transit of  Mars/Saturn-esp Mars  over Gemini Lagna/ascendant .Situation is partially reversed as Congress lagna is Sagittarius and Mars transiting over it but benefiting from sun Transit on day of election results.Narendra Modi horoscope also shows gains.All in all BJP will gain but Congress may not loose badly with neck to neck fight in HP likely (Source of BJP and Congress Horoscope is book by noted astrologer KN Rao-Astrology ,Destiny and Wheels of Time)

Fiscal Cliff: We have in a recent post based on astrology and using natal horoscope of USA predicted dates for resolution of Fiscal cliff.( incidentally movement of Moon /transit of Rahu/Ketu leaving their direct aspect/conjunction on/with Jupiter  which we used to predict resolution of Fiscal cliff and weakening of GoP-Dem conflicts over time- also bodes well for controlling school/temple shooting type tragedies witnessed on so many occasions over last several months (Jupiter-Ketu conjuct in USA 7th house explains such tragedies as they have occurred over last several months) after January 2013.

Fiscal cliff predicted on basis on Tarot and stock market predictions: Using Tarot  we predict US will come back from brink of Fiscal cliff with some sort of deal as cards predict sudden rise/recovery after a choppy and volatile days ahead .Hence short now and add long positions after Dow 30 correct over 250-400 points ( general rule of thumb- market will correct more /deeper further the delay in resolving fiscal cliff over remaining days of December)