Clarification: Tarot Prediction of Delhi Elections 2013

Please see our previous post.

In yesterday's post We Indicated seat wins as per our our prediction model as follows: BJP 3O AAP 25-28 Congress Rest


How did we make this prediction since we tested seat wins by party In range of 10.

Ans: we made detailed predictions which shows disappointment for BJP in terms of getting a majority and also likelihood shortfall will be about 6 seats. This was the basis for working out specific seat projection



However we may attempt a fine tuned prediction by testing seat wins for each party in a smaller range.


Our next prediction will be for Rajasthan (since MP & chattisgarh Showing BJP wins for BJP on all Surveys